Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000833 0.000894 0.000958 0.001031 0.001112 0.001199 0.001300
2026-01-18 0.000743 0.000826 0.000918 0.001027 0.001156 0.001302 0.001483
2026-01-25 0.000781 0.000897 0.001030 0.001196 0.001402 0.001650 0.001978
2026-02-01 0.000707 0.000827 0.000969 0.001152 0.001385 0.001678 0.002080
2026-02-08 0.000652 0.000775 0.000923 0.001120 0.001377 0.001711 0.002187
2026-02-15 0.000615 0.000741 0.000896 0.001107 0.001391 0.001769 0.002331
2026-02-22 0.000577 0.000703 0.000861 0.001080 0.001381 0.001795 0.002427
2026-03-01 0.000538 0.000661 0.000819 0.001040 0.001351 0.001786 0.002471
2026-03-08 0.000513 0.000637 0.000797 0.001026 0.001354 0.001825 0.002588
2026-03-15 0.000488 0.000611 0.000773 0.001007 0.001348 0.001847 0.002681
2026-03-22 0.000454 0.000572 0.000728 0.000955 0.001291 0.001790 0.002638
2026-03-29 0.000433 0.000549 0.000705 0.000934 0.001277 0.001797 0.002702
2026-04-05 0.000414 0.000530 0.000688 0.000924 0.001285 0.001847 0.002859
2026-04-12 0.000398 0.000515 0.000675 0.000919 0.001302 0.001913 0.003053
2026-04-19 0.000428 0.000564 0.000758 0.001064 0.001566 0.002418 0.004145
2026-04-26 0.000403 0.000535 0.000724 0.001026 0.001529 0.002399 0.004213
2026-05-03 0.000383 0.000512 0.000697 0.000998 0.001507 0.002405 0.004333
2026-05-10 0.000369 0.000496 0.000682 0.000987 0.001512 0.002461 0.004570
2026-05-17 0.000353 0.000477 0.000660 0.000964 0.001495 0.002472 0.004706
2026-05-24 0.000335 0.000455 0.000633 0.000930 0.001455 0.002436 0.004729
2026-05-31 0.000323 0.000442 0.000619 0.000918 0.001454 0.002476 0.004939
2026-06-07 0.000311 0.000428 0.000603 0.000901 0.001443 0.002495 0.005102
2026-06-14 0.000294 0.000405 0.000571 0.000857 0.001378 0.002397 0.004950